Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MKR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-13 833.752078 943.674041 1066.681743 1215.297070 1390.998282 1593.352087 1845.839800
2025-04-20 683.010734 830.598778 1011.751697 1253.704125 1573.395002 1988.613133 2581.039722
2025-04-27 595.273367 756.471160 966.064358 1264.703594 1689.745713 2289.963404 3234.339329
2025-05-04 537.935465 708.204568 940.209653 1289.074236 1818.194531 2622.585582 4006.776582
2025-05-11 492.432787 667.590324 915.809651 1306.643480 1933.319537 2951.311758 4855.225048
2025-05-18 464.517263 647.057145 915.388743 1356.787066 2103.783792 3399.980007 6041.155637
2025-05-25 432.951210 616.837941 895.576301 1371.505529 2215.581718 3768.719463 7192.641571
2025-06-01 401.301967 582.768003 865.133426 1363.047031 2283.258775 4068.083199 8299.993647
2025-06-08 373.831566 552.280452 836.609207 1353.011710 2344.682156 4366.652726 9513.789226
2025-06-15 356.744425 536.519971 830.140989 1380.332616 2481.256889 4852.187574 11390.813345
2025-06-22 329.618701 501.964370 788.406389 1337.221862 2468.506833 5004.797571 12435.742335
2025-06-29 306.176924 471.668451 751.194974 1297.992366 2457.141823 5157.883869 13553.802344
2025-07-06 282.735391 440.508371 711.270290 1251.955978 2430.844679 5287.418631 14733.936763
2025-07-13 273.732666 433.522593 714.169086 1291.842118 2605.275785 5983.009809 18287.114622
2025-07-20 261.746196 420.220344 703.995039 1303.264847 2715.655760 6542.187350 21759.473114
2025-07-27 252.569686 411.125257 700.703191 1328.578708 2864.974234 7265.143570 26543.411238
2025-08-03 243.308742 401.107700 694.603299 1346.830809 3000.468532 7997.171593 32119.496370
2025-08-10 238.438096 398.747450 703.139481 1398.936779 3237.356165 9157.796209 41389.962601
2025-08-17 230.039991 389.107524 696.170672 1414.234972 3376.647379 10042.269887 50346.312458
2025-08-24 219.944241 375.519675 679.952293 1405.443107 3445.173375 10696.481546 58824.232407
2025-08-31 210.472798 362.513184 663.865359 1395.012989 3507.329950 11358.114296 68611.191537
2025-09-07 205.099236 357.144538 663.383765 1423.410540 3696.804525 12649.916214 86848.890960
2025-09-14 193.930364 339.616032 635.505447 1378.603540 3642.568164 12840.363966 94704.889182